Can Everybody Take a Deep Breath? Please?

The venerable NYT made it official yesterday – this is the worst real estate market since the Great Flood. Sales are spiraling down, prices are cratering nationwide. Can another recession dip be far off? Yahoo echoes the vibe today, and if you really want to get a look at the dark inner workings of the American mind, scroll down to the accompanying comments. All 45,000 of them, as of this writing. Yeck!

We don’t know where they get their numbers, but let’s assume that they’re accurate for the U.S. as a whole. But wait! Last time we looked, real estate was still a local business. This is not Tampa or Las Vegas, after all. Or is it?

We checked the MLS, our private site where brokers share all listing and sales data, and compared Marin sales year on year for July. Included are all condo and single-family home sales above $50k, to avoid getting rental data. Results below.

Compared: July ’09 and July ’10

We’ve actually sold a few more homes, for about nine percent more than July a year ago. While these numbers are far lower than the high flying days of 2006, say, we think they reflect a more or less normal market. Healthy, even. And in July this year, 25% sold in the first 30 days they were listed, as compared to 15% in July of ’09, indicating stronger demand coupled with more realistic pricing.

And remember, buyers rushed to close escrow before june 30 to take advantage of the Federal Tax Credit, so homes that normally would have closed in July were squeezed into June.

If you want specific information about your home or neighborhood, give me a shout. And don’t believe everything you see in the news.

$18,000 IN COMBINED HOMEBUYER TAX CREDITS FOR A LIMITED TIME

Californians have a brief window of opportunity to receive up to $18,000 in combined federal and state homebuyer tax credits. In Marin County, to take advantage of both tax credits, a first-time homebuyer must enter into a purchase contract for a principal residence before May 1, 2010, and close escrow between May 1, 2010 and June 30, 2010, inclusive. Buyers who are not first-time homebuyers may use the same timeframes to receive up to $16,500 in combined tax credits if they are long-time residents of their existing homes as permitted under federal law, and they purchase properties that have never been previously occupied as provided under California law.

Under the federal law slated to soon expire, a first-time homebuyer may receive up to $8,000 in tax credits, and a long-time resident may receive up to $6,500, for certain purchase contracts entered into by April 30, 2010 that close escrow by June 30, 2010. Additionally, under a newly enacted California law, a homebuyer may receive up to $10,000 in tax credits as a first-time homebuyer or buyer of a property that has never been occupied. The new California law applies to certain purchases that close escrow on or after May 1, 2010 (see Cal. Rev. & Tax Code section 17059.1(a)(4)). California law generally allows buyers of never-occupied properties to reserve their credits before closing escrow, but buyers seeking to combine the federal and state tax credits will not be able to satisfy the timing requirements for such reservations (see Cal. Rev. & Tax Code section 17059.1(c)(1)(A)). Other terms and restrictions apply to both tax credits.

For more information, call me at 415.302.7787 right away. Cheers!

How Tiburon Maintains Property Values

What adds value to your home more than knowing you are safe from the burgling and home-invading hordes? Sure, you can set the alarm, and even keep a firearm handy. But is that enough? Tiburon police say No!

Main Street

Mainly know for their hyper-vigilant and revenue-enhancing DUI patrols of Tiburon Boulevard – eschew that extra glass of wine with dinner at the club, or else! – the Tiburon police want to set Crime Cams to record the license plates of vehicles coming from the outside world.

“It’s a simple fact that most of the crime that is committed on the peninsula is from people out of the area,” said Chief Cronin in yesterday’s IJ.

Hey, chief, how about let’s put a Yacht Cam in Racoon Straits to snare the investment bankers and financiers who crashed the financial markets? Then we’d really feel safer.